Na11:10 munaNovember 8, iyo polyester ethylene glycol chigadzirwa cheYulin Chemical Co., Ltd. yeShaanxi Coal Group yakatanga zviri pamutemo!Aka ndekekutanga kuti zvigadzirwa zvepolyester giredhi ethylene glycol zvinogadzirwa naYulin Chemical Co., Ltd., izvo zvinosangana nezvinodiwa zveGB/T4649-2018, zvinotakurwa kuenda kuZhejiang Hengyi Group Co., Ltd., fekitori inozivikanwa yepolyester. muChina.
Mushure mekunge mutengo wakaramba uchidonha uye uchirova nyowani yakaderera mugore, ethylene glycol ramangwana rakapinda muchikamu chepasi chekusimbisa.Mumazuva achangopfuura, zvichienzaniswa nePTA uye staple fiber mune imwechete indasitiri cheni, mutengo we ethylene glycol wakawedzera zvakanyanya, wakambotungamira chikamu chose chepolyester.Iyo isina kusimba "iyo" muchikamu chepolyester yakangoerekana yasimuka.I“hove dzakarungwa” here?
Munguva pfupi yapfuura, mutengo weethylene glycolyakawedzera pamwero wakaderera, zvichitungamira kukwira kwemakemikari mazhinji.Panyaya iyi, Shi Jiaping, muongorori mukuru weHuarui Information, akatsanangura kuti, kune rumwe rutivi, extrusion ye ethylene glycol supply side yaive pachena.MunaNovember, iyo yepamba ethylene glycol yekutanga mutoro yakanga yadonha kusvika ku55% - 56%, nepo gasi rekugadzira kune ethylene glycol yekutanga mutoro wakaderera kusvika pa30% - 33%, zvakanyanya nhoroondo yakaderera.Kune rumwe rutivi, mutengo we ethylene glycol wakawira pasi, iyo yakatsauka zvakanyanya kubva pakuyera.Parizvino, manzwiro emusika akadziya, uye zvigadzirwa zvine purofiti yakawandisa mudanho rekutanga zvinoda kugadziriswa.
Munguva pfupi yapfuura, ethylene glycol ramangwana rakadzokera shure uye rakasimuka, iro rakanga "rakasiyana" muchikamu chepolyester.Muchokwadi, yaive rudzi rwekugadzirisa kukosha mushure mekunge mabheti ese akaipa atengeswa.Nekufamba kwenguva, kuchine akawanda seti emidziyo inotarisirwa kuiswa mukugadzirwa mune ramangwana.Nekudaro, pasi pemamiriro ezvinhu asina tariro akadaro, kusanganisira kubviswa kwemasheya pachiteshi uye kukwidziridzwa kwenguva refu kwekushandisa kubva kune macro marongero, ivo vanopa kukwira kumusoro kweiyo yakaderera ethylene glycol.Kubva pane zvabuda, kusimuka kwemazuva ano kwe ethylene glycol kuri nani pane zvimwe zvigadzirwa zvepolyester.
1. Simba rekugadzira rinowedzera kuvandudzwa, uye kukwanisa kwekukura kwemarasha kune ethylene glycol yakakura.
Zvinoenderana neIn deep Analysis yeChina Ethylene Glycol Industry Development uye Future Investment Research Report (2022-2029) yakaburitswa neGuanyan Report Network, mumakore achangopfuura, indasitiri yepasi rose ethylene glycol yakasimukira nekukurumidza, iine ethylene glycol kugadzirwa kwesimba uye kubuda kuri kuwedzera gore. negore.Muna 2021, iyo yepasi rose ethylene glycol yekugadzira huwandu huchawedzera ne19.4% gore negore, uye zvinobuda zvichawedzera ne7.5% gore negore.Pasi pemamiriro ezvinhu aya, huwandu hwekugadzira uye kubuda kweindasitiri yeChina ethylene glycol iri kuwedzerawo gore negore.
Panyaya yehukuru hwekugadzira, sezvo nyika ichibhadhara zvakanyanya kune ethylene glycol indasitiri, kutungamira kwakakodzera uye kutsigira marongero akadai seFormula yeKukurudzira Kusimudzira uye Kushandiswa kweTekinoroji uye Zvigadzirwa muPetrochemical uye Chemical Indasitiri muna 2021, Mafungiro Anotungamira paKusimudzira. Iyo Yepamusoro Hunhu Kukudziridzwa kwePetrochemical uye Chemical Indasitiri panguva ye "Gumi Nemashanu Chirongwa Chemakore" uye Mafungiro Anotungamira paKukwirisa Kwemhando Yekuvandudzwa kweChemical Fiber Indasitiri muna 2022 inoramba ichipihwa, uye nharaunda yemaindasitiri inoramba ichifadza, China ethylene glycol. kukwanisa kugadzira kuri kuwedzera gore negore.Zvinoenderana nedata, iyo ethylene glycol yekugadzira yeChina ichawedzera kubva pa8.32 miriyoni matani kusvika 21.45 miriyoni matani kubva 2017 kusvika 2021, ine avhareji yegore yekukura kwehuwandu hwehuwandu hwe31%.
Panyaya yehuwandu hwekushandiswa kwehuwandu, huwandu hwekushandisa huwandu hweethylene glycol huwandu muChina hwakaderera pari zvino, hwaive hunenge 68.63% mu2017;Ichawedzera kusvika 73.42% panosvika 2019. Nekudaro, kubva 2020 kusvika 2021, nekuda kwekukanganisa kwedenda rekuzviparadzanisa pamba, ethylene glycol mudziyo kuchengetedza, magetsi rationing uye yakakwirira marasha mitengo, mudzimba ethylene glycol kutanga mutoro yakaderera, uye yose. indasitiri inotanga kudzikira zvakanyanya, zvichikonzera kuwanda kwekushandisa ethylene glycol kuChina kudzika kusvika pa60.06% uye 55.01% zvakateerana mumakore maviri apfuura.
Panyaya yezvinobuda, nekuwedzera kweiyo ethylene glycol musika kugona uye kuwedzera kwese kweiyo yakadzika kudiwa, iyo inobuda inoratidzawo maitiro ekukura kwegore.Kubva 2017 kusvika 2021, ethylene glycol yekuChina yakawedzera kubva pa5.71 miriyoni matani kusvika 11.8 miriyoni matani, uye kukura kwayo kwekukura kwakaratidzawo kukwira kumusoro mumakore maviri apfuura, zvichitungamirwa nekukura kwakanyanya kwesimba rekugadzira.Muna 2021, yeChina ethylene glycol yakabuda yekukura mwero yaive ingangoita 21.65% gore-pa-gore, 2.63 muzana mapoinzi akakwira kupfuura iwo muna 2020.
Kubva pakuchinja kweChina ethylene glycol kugadzirwa kwesimba, zvinogona kuoneka kuti ethylene glycol yekugadzira yeChina yakawedzera kuvandudzwa mumakore mashanu apfuura, uye indasitiri iri padanho rekukura nekusimudzira.
Panyaya yekushanda kwemaindasitiri, kune matatu makuru ekugadzirwa kwe ethylene glycol muChina: kusanganisa (naphtha/ethylene process), MTO (methanol kuolefin) uye marasha kune ethylene glycol.Parizvino, nekuda kwehunyanzvi hwekuita tekinoroji yepetroleum kune ethylene glycol muChina, inova nzira yemazuva ese, iyo dhizaini yepetroleum kune ethylene glycol inoverengera chikamu chepamusoro.Muna 2021, simba rekugadzira petroleum kune ethylene glycol muChina richaita zvinopfuura 60%, uye zvakabuda zvichapfuura mamiriyoni manomwe ematani;Chechipiri imarasha kune ethylene glycol tekinoroji (nzira yemarasha ndeyekushandisa marasha ekugadzira gasi kutanga, uyezve kushandisa mvura nekabhoni monoxide mugasi rekugadzira seyakagadzirwa kugadzira ethylene glycol), ine simba rekugadzira rinoverengera anopfuura makumi matatu muzana. uye goho rinopfuura matani mamiriyoni matatu.Mutengo wemafuta wakakwira mumakore maviri achangopfuura, uye kugadzirwa kwemarasha kune ethylene glycol muChina kwakakura nekukurumidza.Muna 2021, kugadzirwa kwemarasha kune ethylene glycol muChina kuchakura ne50% gore pagore.Sezvo China ine chimiro chesimba che "marasha mazhinji, gasi shoma uye mafuta mashoma", marasha kune ethylene glycol hunhu hweChina maererano nekupihwa kwese kwe ethylene glycol muChina.Mune ramangwana, marasha eChina kune ethylene glycol ane mukana mukuru wekusimudzira.
2. Nafita haina simba uye yakaoma kugadzirisa
Iyo yakasununguka yekupihwa uye kudiwa kwakakonzera kusashanda zvakanaka kweiyo ethylene glycol sector, uye kugadzirwa kwakaramba kuri mune yakashata purofiti.Panguva imwecheteyo, kushanda kwezvinhu zvayo zvakasvibiswa naphtha uye ethylene zvakare kune usimbe, zvichiita kuti mari yekutsigira ethylene glycol ishaye simba.
Panyaya yemusika wepasi rose we ethylene glycol mbishi zvinhu, naphtha yekubatanidza account chikamu chikuru, ichiteverwa negasi rechisikigo uye ethane kugadzirwa mhiri kwemakungwa, uye kugadzirwa kwemarasha kuChina.Kubatanidzwa kweNaphtha kwaimbove nzira yekugadzira ine mutengo wakasimba wakanakira, asi gore rino, mutengo wakasimba wemafuta uye kushandiswa kusina simba kwakatungamira mukurasikirwa kwakazara mumaketani eindasitiri yeolefin, ethylene cracking units yakaderedzwa kugadzirwa munzvimbo yakakura, uye naphtha crude oil mutengo. mutsauko wakambopinda mumutsara usina kunaka, Izvi zvinoreva kuti mutengo wechigadzirwa wakaderera pane wezvigadzirwa, uye kugadzirwa kuri mukurasikirwa.Pakupera kwaGumiguru, mutsauko wemutengo pakati penaphtha nemafuta asina kuchena wanga uchichinja-chinja kusvika zero.Kushaya simba kwenaphtha kunoita kuti ethylene glycol ishaye rubatsiro rwemari.Naizvozvo, mukuita kwemutengo wemafuta uchikwira nekudonha, naphtha inotevera mutengo wemafuta uchidzika, uye ethylene glycol inorasikirwa nerutsigiro rwemutengo.Ichi zvakare chinhu chakakosha chekuti ethylene glycol mutengo urambe uchipera simba kubva muchikamu chechipiri chegore rino.
3. Mutengo wemarasha wakasimba haugone kutsigira ethylene glycol
Mutsara wekugadzira marasha ndeye yakasarudzika ethylene glycol yekugadzira maitiro muChina.Parizvino, huwandu hwekugadzira marasha epamba hwasvika 8.65 miriyoni matani, achiverengera 37% yehuwandu hwese hwepamba.Mutengo wemakemikari marasha ane simba, uye anga achishanda anopfuura 1100 yuan/ton kwegore rose, uye asvika kupfuura 1300 yuan/ton kubva munaGunyana.Kurasika kwemarasha kuethylene glycol kunoti kunopfuura 1000 yuan/ton.Nekuti masosi emasyngas anoshandiswa nechikamu chimwe nechimwe akasiyana, iyo chaiyo purofiti yekugadzira inogona kungotongwa zvakapusa.Zvisinei, marasha kune ethylene glycol ave ari mumamiriro ekurasikirwa kubva muchikamu chechipiri chegore rino, uye kurasikirwa kunoramba kuchidzika nekusimbiswa kwemitengo yemarasha.Nekudaro, mamwe marasha emakemikari zvidyarwa anoshandisa coke oven muswe gasi kugadzira, inova yemarara kudzokorodza uye isingakanganisike nemutengo wemarasha;Pamusoro pezvo, kune zvimwe zvinotsigira zvishandiso zvemarasha mabhizinesi.Mukuita kwekukwira kwemitengo yemarasha, purofiti yemarasha yekumusoro yakapfuma, saka kushivirira kwekurasikirwa kwekudzika kwe ethylene glycol kunovandudzwa.Naizvozvo, tinogona kuona kuti kunyangwe purofiti yemarasha kune ethylene glycol yakashata gore rino, chikamu chayo hachinyanyi kukanganiswa nekuderera kwepurofiti kana ichienzaniswa nemakore apfuura.Kugadziriswa kwegore negore kwekugadzirisa uye zvimwe zvinodiwa zvekuchengetedza kwechikwata zvakasimbiswa muchikamu chechitatu, izvo zvakaita kuti kukurumidza kuderera kwekushanda kwemarasha kune ethylene glycol.Pakazara, kunze kwekuvharwa kwezvikamu zvemigodhi zvekunze zvakati wandei nekuda kwematambudziko epurofiti mugore, kushanda kwemarasha akavakirwa mayuniti kwakagadzikana gore rino, nerutsigiro rushoma rwe ethylene glycol.
Kutarisa mberi kune ramangwana, iyo isina simba yekugovera uye kudiwa kwekutarisira kuchachengeta mutengo we ethylene glycol pasi pekumanikidzwa.600000 matani emamiriyoni e1.8 emamiriyoni eYulin, Shaanxi Coal Mine akatumirwa, uye mamwe matani mamiriyoni 1.2 akarongwa kuiswa mukugadzirwa mukota yechina.Pamusoro pezvo, iyo Jiutai miriyoni imwe toni unit ethylene glycol chirongwa chakaiswawo mukugadzira.Mune ramangwana, pane zvakare tarisiro yekuti Sanjiang 1 miriyoni ton MTO uye ethylene glycol unit inotsigira Shenghong Petrochemical ichaiswa mukugadzirwa.Kubva pachikamu chechina kusvika kuhafu yekutanga yegore rinouya, mutsva wekupa pressure oethylene glycol ichiri yakakura.Weak terminal yekushandisa inoramba ichikwevera pasi musika weolefin.Mutengo wakaderera we naphtha unoita kuti ethylene glycol ishaye rubatsiro rwemari, uye mitengo yakasimba yemarasha yemumba inonetsawo kuve nemhedzisiro yakakosha pane ethylene glycol.Tarisiro yemutengo usina simba uye kugovera uye kudiwa kuchachengeta mutengo we ethylene glycol wakaderera.
Nhoroondo ye JIN DUN ChemicalResearch Institute ine vane ruzivo, vane shungu uye vane hunyanzvi R&D timu.Kambani iyi inohaya nyanzvi dzepamusoro dzepamba uye nyanzvi sevanopa mazano ehunyanzvi, uye zvakare inoita kudyidzana kwepedyo nekutsinhana kwehunyanzvi neBeijing University yeChemical Technology, Donghua University, Zhejiang University, Zhejiang Research Institute yeChemical Indasitiri, Shanghai Institute of Organic Chemistry uye zvimwe zvinozivikanwa. mayunivhesiti uye masangano ekutsvagisa.
JIN DUN Material inoomerera pakugadzira timu ine zviroto, kugadzira zvigadzirwa zvine chiremera, zvine hungwaru, zvine hungwaru, uye kuenda zvese kunze kuti uve mudiwa wakavimbika uye shamwari yevatengi!Edza kuitazvinhu zvitsva zvemakemikarikuunza ramangwana riri nani kupasi!
Nguva yekutumira: Zvita-16-2022